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IMPACT FACTOR OF WAZUA ON THE NSE
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stocksmaster
#1 Posted : Tuesday, October 19, 2010 1:24:25 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/26/2006
Posts: 463
Location: CENTRAL PROVINCE
I have always wondered the effect of Wazua on the NSE. Could we be underestimating the influence of Wazua on the investment decisions of people at the NSE (especially on the speculation aspect of the market). Can Wazua pump a stock to a point that it gains momentum (create a tipping point effect towards the positive or negative trajectory of a stock).

My hypothesis is that the effect of Wazua on the NSE is not negible especially if that action is focused on a share that obeys one key characteristic ie Limited float/availability at the market.

I am seriously thinking of how to develop the research methodology for this hypothesis.

Happy hunting
x handle: @stocksmaster79
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the deal
#2 Posted : Tuesday, October 19, 2010 1:51:15 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
@SM look at DTBK when folks started threads here it was @ 108 now look where it is...i also think we underestimate the depth of the Wazua members...we have fund managers, stockbrokers...high networth investors coming here everyday...
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My 2 cents
#3 Posted : Tuesday, October 19, 2010 2:40:54 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/2/2010
Posts: 1,091
Ha ha ha.....ha ha ha
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mjuaji wa stocks
#4 Posted : Tuesday, October 19, 2010 2:49:54 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/16/2010
Posts: 672
Location: nairobi
stocksmaster wrote:
I have always wondered the effect of Wazua on the NSE. Could we be underestimating the influence of Wazua on the investment decisions of people at the NSE (especially on the speculation aspect of the market). Can Wazua pump a stock to a point that it gains momentum (create a tipping point effect towards the positive or negative trajectory of a stock).

My hypothesis is that the effect of Wazua on the NSE is not negible especially if that action is focused on a share that obeys one key characteristic ie Limited float/availability at the market.

I am seriously thinking of how to develop the research methodology for this hypothesis.

Happy hunting



Mbona uliiba mawazo yangu ..Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

True.....a moment a certain stock is discussed here,....check the trend!!!

Happy hunting.....for it is easier to make money than to propose...Applause Applause Applause Applause Applause
God gave me the power to make wealth ... Blessed the work of my hands & enabled be A SELF MADE BILLIONAIRE ...... TO GOD THE FATHER OF MY LORD JESUS CHRIST; BE THE GLORY NOW & FOREVER MORE!
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youcan'tstopusnow
#5 Posted : Tuesday, October 19, 2010 3:03:21 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
If Wazua had that much muscle, KK would be at 25 by now. Plus how many Wazuans saw the SCANGROUP rally coming?
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
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  | | Edit by user: Tuesday, October 19, 2010 3:06 PM | Reason: Not specified
Gordon Gekko
#6 Posted : Tuesday, October 19, 2010 3:17:17 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/27/2008
Posts: 3,760
Simple, let us put it to test. May I propose Mumias, we drive it to 14-15 so I can bail out.
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  | | Edit by user: Tuesday, October 19, 2010 3:29 PM | Reason: Not specified
The Merchant
#7 Posted : Tuesday, October 19, 2010 3:24:14 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/24/2010
Posts: 846
Location: KENYA
[quote=the deali also think we underestimate the depth of the Wazua members...we have fund managers, stockbrokers...high networth investors coming here everyday...[/quote]
I agree. Maybe we have very good stock pickers in wazua and when they discuss a stock it will inevitably go up but not due to the discussion at wazua rather by its own merit. Maybe what we should be discussing here is the track record of stock pickers at wazua. Whaen I joined wazua I had being an observer for a while thaen I noticed that guys here really did pick stocks well. But maybe if we have a no. of fund managers here the prices may actually be affected...hmmmmd'oh!
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Sober
#8 Posted : Tuesday, October 19, 2010 3:56:28 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/27/2007
Posts: 3,604
there is about 50 counter trading at the NSE. with 300+ members here at wazua and about 20% of them making 80% contribution (if you know the 20/80 rule. we can have to comment on almost every stock that has any action.
you chose to look at the stocks that the right decisions were made and your results will be different and diverse from the one who has been making losses basing on the discussions here.
African parents don't know how to say sorry.. the closest you will get to a sorry is a 'have you eaten'
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Apple Bees
#9 Posted : Tuesday, October 19, 2010 4:01:27 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 7/5/2008
Posts: 390
Gordon Gekko wrote:
Simple, let us put it to test. May I propose Mumias, we drive it to 14-15 so I can bail out.

roger that
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guru267
#10 Posted : Wednesday, October 20, 2010 7:37:51 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
Very interesting topic.... i'm pretty sure wazua does influence prices of counters especially the illiquid ones...

I'm thinking as soon as @SM sold his KCB holding at 22.75 the rest of wazuans did the same because there has been huge retail activity at this price.... Laughing out loudly

Jubilee has been trading at the range of 185-190 for more than a month then a few days ago @mwanahisa said he was going to buy at 199 and the price immediately shot up to 199

I do admit i have on enough occasions driven up the price of an illiquid stock basing on discussions on wazua....
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
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