Kenya elections 2012 will be fragmented and over crowded,Unless there are primary elections to weed out may candidates There is a high likelihood of Kenyans electing an unpopular president and Prime Minister. Here are some of the candidates I think will run.

1. Raila Odinga,2. Kalonzo Musyoka,3. William Ruto,4. Uhuru Kenyatta,5. Martha Karua,6. Ledama Ole Kina,7. Julia Ojiambo,8. Paul Muite,9. Pius Muiru,10. Musalia Mudavadi,11. Charity Ngilu,12. Amos Kimunya,13. George Saitoti,14. Jimmy Kibaki,15. Wakoli Bifwoli,16. PLO Lumumba,17. Musikari kombo,18. Kamlesh Pattni,19. Najib Balala,20. Peter Kenneth,21. Kalembe Ndile,22. Gideon Moi,23. Ali Makwere,24 Maina Kiai,25. Mwalimu Mati,26. Bitange Ndemo,27. Nicholas Biwott,29. Francis Atwoli,30. Cyrus Jirongo,31. Gitobu Imanyara,32. Joseph Luketon,33. Koigi Wa Wamwere,34. Maina Njenga,35. Joseph Munyes

Predicted winners

President: William Ruto

Prime Minister: Raila Odinga

Fm ua list,I only recognize 3 major forces,RAO,UK,PK. The rest ni kìrìndì.

The only reason why some people are still alive is coz its illegal to shoot them!!

@ magigi,

...the reason why you were left out is you don't even have qualifications for a headman...let alone sub-chief...heheheheheh!!!!


NEVER TALK OF A RHINO IF THERE IS NO TREE NEAREBY - ZULU PROVERB

You have a very wide list till all the critics have been accomodated. I propose you come up with the top ten and you see sparks here.

A likely impossibility is always preferable to an unconvincing posibility.

May be @Magigi should take up that slot then

28. Magigi

“Money frees you from doing things you dislike. Since I dislike doing nearly everything,money is handy.” - ~ Groucho Marx.......................

BUT

.......................“I’m living so far beyond my income that we may almost be said to be living apart.” - e e cummings

@ceaser - ave! What I think oF your top 10




1.Raila Odinga - 70-80% CHANCE 2.Kalonzo Musyoka - 5% CHANCE - 50% OF KENYANS WILL ALWAYS REMEMBER THE GUY WHO HELPED TIP THE SCALE THE WRONG WAY - THE OTHER 50% COULDN'T CARE LESS. TRACK RECORD - WHAT HAS HE DONE OF ANY SUBSTANCE IN THE LAST 10 YEARS?,3.William Ruto - 10-15% - IS A CLEAR THINKER BUT GIVEN THE POWER STRUGGLES IN THE RIFT....4.Uhuru Kenyatta ERROR 404 - PAGE NOT FOUND 0.5% CHANCE 5.Martha Karua - 20-25% CHANCE - WOULDN'T THAT BE NICE? BUT LETS FACE IT,THE MALE ELECTORATE ARE LARGELY VERY JINGOISTIC ... MAYBE AS A RUNNING MATE TO RAO SHE CAN MAKE IT AS PM AND HE AS PRESIDENT - NOW THAT WOULD BE EXCELLENT! 6.Musalia Mudavadi NONE STARTER - BTW WHERE THE F IS HE? 7.Musikari Kombo NON STARTER - I'D RATHER SOMEONE SAID MUKHISA KITUYI,8.Najib Balala - HMMM..0.25% CHANCE 9.Francis Atwoli 1% CHANCE - WHY ARE PEOPLE STILL LOCKED UP IN FACTORIES OVERNIGHT? WHY DO CONSTRUCTION WORKERS STILL NOT HAVE HELMETS AND SAFETY GEAR? HOW MANY VICTIMS OF INDUSTRIAL ACCIDENTS GET STIFFED (AND CRIPPLED) AND END UP WITH NO COMPENSATION THANKS TO POOR STEWARDSHIP? - THAT PART OF THE ELECTORATE MAY LIKE HIS RHETORIC AND GREAT ORATION,BUT HIS ACTIONS AS A LABOUR UNIONIST ARE VERY LACKING. A MAJOR MOTOR MOUTH IMHO. 10.Nicholas Biwott. 0.0000125% CHANCE.

The problem with equality is that we desire that it be with those that have more than us rather that those that have less

The president in 2012 will be the one who gets the equation right on the results of the current census. You can be sure the most important question on that census questionnare as far as all politicians are concerned is TRIBE. When all the numbers are in the tribal chiefs will sit and negotiate. Track record,corruption allegations,who has done what or been involved in what scandal are irrelevant. The man in the strongest bargaining position is Raila since he is the only one who has absolute control of the whole of his community,he has the power to get votes from his people as well as the power to tell them who to vote for or against. The Rift Valley is a tussle between Moi and Ruto. If Ruto and Moi are in agreement they can together have a Raila like command over the sizable Kalenjin vote. The central province vote is a solid vote only if there is one main Central province presidential candidate. The problem Uhuru has is that while he can get the whole central province vote if he were the sole candidate from there,he does not have the power to tell the community to vote for someone else. Uhuru can therefore only negotiate if he is the presidential candidate but can never be a king maker. Kalonzo has the best chance of being in the next government but only if he does not run but supports another candidate. By any means the next president will not be decided by the electorate but by the people Ceasar has listed sitting in a boardroom. The mwanachi will be preached to from the same age old campaign text which includes some key words that he loves hearing,fight against corruption,education,roads,water etc etc. He will be led in singing 'Bado mapambano' and after a few runs around chanting 'haki yetu' he will be asked to rubber stamp the choice of his tribal king. He has never been known to object.

Weusi wa nywele za mshtakiwa zaonyesha ujinga alio nao

RAO? Got nothing against him bt i highly doubt he can even marshall the kind of support he enjoyed in 2007. I can bet he certainly wont make it. I foresee a new face up there! Its taking some shape already...

The only reason why some people are still alive is coz its illegal to shoot them!!

@Simonkabz - regarding RAO - stranger things have been known to happen in Kenya. Imagine an alliance between RAO and Martha Karua - Karua mainly found Ruto the most objectionable person in ODM during and after 07 (after mainly on the hague issue) - On the chess board of politics they almost lined up as bishop against bishop in terms of the hierarchy and traded barbs at that level. Of course in terms of profession (law) - none of the legal eagles in ODM (or even the best 5 combined) can measure up to ONE Karua The other thing to note is that now that MK cannot run,part of the objection to Central (ergo Karua) is removed. In 2002,we had the most UNLIKELY alliance and it served to start the first wave of a revolution. We have some time yet before this can happen - the game needs to play out a bit more before 2012 - the likely candidates need to know which way their respective cats will jump - its too soon to know which personalities in the rift will remain in ODM,which will revert to Kanu and which will support the next PNU (its VERY likely PNU will also fracture) and the next ODM (this too may not reach 2012 as ODM)

The problem with equality is that we desire that it be with those that have more than us rather that those that have less

One of many winning tickets

(Odinga: President

Uhuru: PM

Mudavadi: VP

Balala: Deputy PM

Ngilu Deputy PM)

Make your own...