PKoli wrote:mwanahisa wrote:@PKoli. What is your rationale for preferring CFC over DTB? DTB seems to have better fundamentals or are you basing it on observed market behaviour? Ama it is the listing of CFC Ins Holdings?
During the merger, the Bank alone was not able to get its correct pricing. It should move to its correct pricing relative to its peers. That way, it should be trading at over 240, when you add other minor components like the insurance, it should trade at a range of 160 or thereabouts. Obviously, if it does not behave like KCB which has one of the lowest returns on its assets.
CFC has been aggressive and with the new management headed by the guy who grew Stanbic Ug, we should see some reasonable upsurge.
Pkoli. Even if the deal has not come through, it appears that you are already enjoying stuff from your own cache.
Read your post above again -
the whole is much less than the sum of the parts. 240 against 160!!!
I have my reservations about CFC Stanbic. The
bank made Kshs 725,270,000 PAT in H1. Total H1 for the
Group was Kshs 677,962,000 PAT. This equates to EPS of
2.65 and
2.48 respectively. Insurance, Financial Services and/or the overheads at CFC Stanbic Holdings apparently
ate into some of the bank's profits. I raised this in a posting but I never got a satisfactory answer why and/or how come.
With the above figures, I say that
CFC needs to grow its earnings by a big margin to get to the pricing level you have indicated i.e. 160. We know that
Standard Bank bought into CFC Group at between
100-120. But it was
at the height of the bull market and in retrospect it looks like they were shafted.
Contrast this with DTB.
H1 2010 PAT stood at Kshs 1,160,851,000. EPS of Kshs
7.12. Remember DTB is
all over East Africa as well and growing its footprint day by day.
On this one, I think you have it wrong unless you are reckoning that folks will want to speculate more on CFC Stanbic.
On fundamentals, DTB is far superior.Now let me go get myself something akin to the deal's Windhoek.