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KQ in 2010-11 (Boom, Bust or Blah)
mwanahisa
#171 Posted : Thursday, September 23, 2010 12:55:40 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
ProverB wrote:
mwanahisa wrote:

I trust that this is a hypothetical situation. I am fairly certain that KQ cannot achieve this feat in this Half, unless of course you are referring to the Operating Profits which were a miserly 160 million. I expect this to go up by a factor of more than 10!!!



how do you propose the above to be achieved?.


Full Year 2009-10 Operating Profit stood at Kshs 1.839 B, while H1 2009-10 was Kshs 160 M. Ergo, H2 Operating Profit must have been Kshs 1.679 B. Replicate that in 2010-11 and you have your factor of 10x. Given the better operating environment in H1 2010-11, we would expect better.

See quote from Q1 2010-11 KQ's operating performance:

Uptake of total production at 1,892m revenue passenger kilometres represents a 9% growth compared to last year while the total passenger tally, which closed on 666,658 increased by 4%. The growth underpins increased long haul customer travel made possible by better economic environment. The resulting average cabin factor improved from last year’s level of 61.6% to 67.2%.

Now, send out your BUY order!!! Buy me a beer someday if you make good on this.....hahaha.. I can buy you one if the bet turns otherwise.
VituVingiSana
#172 Posted : Thursday, September 23, 2010 8:59:47 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,362
Location: Nairobi
I agree with @mwanahisa that the Operating Profits for 1H 2010-11 will be very good with the increase in traffic. The recent international/Africa KQ flight I took was FULL... yaani, 100% full...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
the deal
#173 Posted : Thursday, September 23, 2010 10:41:09 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
I will add more KQ after my exit from KPLC i believe this is the stock to watch in the 4th QTR of 2010..
oswaf
#174 Posted : Thursday, September 23, 2010 11:32:35 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 2/16/2010
Posts: 3
Location: kenya
i bought 5000 of kq last year nov @ 24 and it hit 60 by jan. I'll be buying more when it hits 45 then wait for jan.
mlennyma
#175 Posted : Thursday, September 23, 2010 11:50:41 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
This stock is about to create millionares
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
PKoli
#176 Posted : Friday, September 24, 2010 1:14:17 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/10/2007
Posts: 1,587
mlennyma wrote:
This stock is about to create millionares


Are you predicting the stock to rise to 100 and above
mlennyma
#177 Posted : Friday, September 24, 2010 1:45:45 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
Not really 100 but you will have good pocket money and some savings
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
VituVingiSana
#178 Posted : Friday, September 24, 2010 8:07:46 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,362
Location: Nairobi
Thinking back on my last flight on KQ (intra-African) & the 737-800 was FULL... If they have similar flights over most of Africa (the most profitable section) then they are on a roll!!!

I can't speak to the share price but I think the 1H 2010-11 PAT will be good & the Operating Profit will be spectacular vs last year!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Horton
#179 Posted : Saturday, September 25, 2010 11:30:45 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
Thinking back on my last flight on KQ (intra-African) & the 737-800 was FULL... If they have similar flights over most of Africa (the most profitable section) then they are on a roll!!!

I can't speak to the share price but I think the 1H 2010-11 PAT will be good & the Operating Profit will be spectacular vs last year!



yeah loads are pretty good esp out of the wild west at the moment...came in from freetown the other day, full house. Was in Benin yesteray half loads, again not bad for the new sector....

2 weeks ago, operated nbo-mct-dxb... that route is really doing well. We had to offload 400kgs of cargo as we were too heavy for take off. Most pax were destined for MCT, rally good for a new route
Gordon Gekko
#180 Posted : Saturday, September 25, 2010 12:08:26 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/27/2008
Posts: 3,760
@horton, do you mean they had loaded the cargo then offloaded it? Or they never loaded it in the first place? If the former, the cargo manager should be fired as loading an aircraft is really basic math. He cost me the shareholder lost earnings as time was wasted and the craft delayed. Given the tight turn around times KQ has on its craft, that means a knock on effect on delayed connections for passengers resulting in needless accommodation costs.
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