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PLAYING THE MARKET-A NEW YEAR RESOLUTION
the deal
#271 Posted : Thursday, August 12, 2010 8:58:32 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
@guru u cant ignore foreigners at the NSE anymore...their here to stay and they will influence the NSE day to day...look at the JSE and see how that market tracks the DOW JONES...
qw25041985
#272 Posted : Thursday, August 12, 2010 9:06:13 PM
Rank: User

Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
According to my charts. The market needs to shed some 100 points or so to find its next support .at arround 4400 points. But i believe bargain hunters like @guru and etal will support it .
Indeed US economy doesnt look gud add the Chinesse real estate bubble and you have nervous investors all over the world .
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
sparkly
#273 Posted : Friday, August 13, 2010 10:12:44 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
cnn wrote:
A hiccup,growth at half year for SCBK has failed to follow on the first quarter.PBT is up 21%,i expected better.

The effects of failing to increase their branch network when everybody was doing so are beginning to show. Their growth in profit the last 2 years was driven by earnings from government securities where interest was in the double digits. Other banks were shouldering high branch costs. Now that Tbills rates are approaching 1% wataimba.
Life is short. Live passionately.
stocksmaster
#274 Posted : Tuesday, September 14, 2010 10:50:14 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/26/2006
Posts: 463
Location: CENTRAL PROVINCE
ACTIVITY 11:
A} PURCHASE OF 10,000 KCB SHARES AT AVERAGE PRICE OF KSH 18.75
B} TAKING UP OF 111 STANCHART RIGHTS AT OFFER PRICE OF KSH 165.45

COST OF ACTIVITY 11:
A} COST OF 10,000 KCB SHARES = KSH 187,500
Add 2% transaction costs = KSH 3,750
Total cost of Transaction = KSH 191,250
B} COST OF TAKING UP 111 SCBK RIGHTS =KSH 18,365

TOTAL COST OF ACTIVITY 11: KSH 209,615

CASH IN HAND AFTER ACTIVITY 10: KSH 462,890

CASH IN HAND AFTER ACTIVITY 11: KSH 253,275

SUMMARY AFTER ACTIVITY 11:
SHARES: 10,000 KCB SHARES
2,111 STANCHART SHARES
CASH IN HAND: KSH 253,275

RATIONALE OF ACTIVITY 11:
A)STANCHART:The company will soon be announcing the Q3 results accompanied with an interim dividend. I remain bullish on this share.
SCBK (and BAT(K)) are scheduled for some capital gains and interim dividend payments after the Q3 release of results next month.
B)KCB: At current share price, i find KCB hard to ignore. Currently trading at a trailing P/E of 12.3. The forward EPS for 2010 (I estimate it at Ksh 2 per share)should almost approximate the 2009 EPS of KSH 2.05 despite the additional issued and paid up shares.
(Estimated Net profit for 2010:Ksh 5.9B)
A generous dividend payment of 50-60% of profit is anticipated (KCB rights ensured company has a health capital hence reducing need to withhold too much of profit).
In Feruary-March 2011, when the 2010 results are released (and most of the shares have been mopped up by institutional investors), the KCB share should be trading at a trailing P/E of at least 13 (hence a target price of at least Ksh 26).
I will be strengthening my position in KCB on price dips (below Ksh 19)
(A more detailed analysis of KCB to follow).

Happy hunting.
x handle: @stocksmaster79
qw25041985
#275 Posted : Tuesday, September 14, 2010 11:22:54 PM
Rank: User

Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
I never did so much fundermental research on KCB but i bought it on pure technical terms.
As for STANCHART i can only play it in the fantasy market.And guyz watch out men , i am coming up lik a tsunami !!!!!!!!
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
youcan'tstopusnow
#276 Posted : Tuesday, September 14, 2010 11:30:46 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
I also feel that institutional investors will be taking their positions on KCB soon.
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
teletalk
#277 Posted : Wednesday, September 15, 2010 1:57:55 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 9/3/2010
Posts: 26
Location: Nairobi
Kudos Stockmaster,

Reading the thread and analysis of the stock market, i can say not having knowledge in stock have learnt a great deal.
Keep us educated for those of us who still learning how to trade
happy selling
guru267
#278 Posted : Wednesday, September 15, 2010 2:25:30 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
@stocksmaster Applause to you on KCB... I also found it extremely hard to ignore...

You've also boosted my confidence in my huge buy at 18.9 bob average....

I'm patiently waiting for its imminent rise.
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
qw25041985
#279 Posted : Wednesday, September 15, 2010 2:55:58 AM
Rank: User

Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
@stockmaster. i wish i took ur advice on Mumias @ tha beginin of the year.U trully have foresight...clap ! clap ! clap ! clap ! clap ! clap !
But i willnot be left out on KCB this time. I dnt want to suffer what guru called the "missd the boat" syndrome ..LOL
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
dave.kim
#280 Posted : Wednesday, September 15, 2010 1:51:24 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/25/2010
Posts: 176
stocksmaster wrote:
ACTIVITY 11:
RATIONALE OF ACTIVITY 11:
A)STANCHART:The company will soon be announcing the Q3 results accompanied with an interim dividend. I remain bullish on this share.
SCBK (and BAT(K)) are scheduled for some capital gains and interim dividend payments after the Q3 release of results next month.
B)KCB: At current share price, i find KCB hard to ignore. Currently trading at a trailing P/E of 12.3. The forward EPS for 2010 (I estimate it at Ksh 2 per share)should almost approximate the 2009 EPS of KSH 2.05 despite the additional issued and paid up shares.
(Estimated Net profit for 2010:Ksh 5.9B)
A generous dividend payment of 50-60% of profit is anticipated (KCB rights ensured company has a health capital hence reducing need to withhold too much of profit).
In Feruary-March 2011, when the 2010 results are released (and most of the shares have been mopped up by institutional investors), the KCB share should be trading at a trailing P/E of at least 13 (hence a target price of at least Ksh 26).
I will be strengthening my position in KCB on price dips (below Ksh 19)
(A more detailed analysis of KCB to follow).

Happy hunting.

@stckmaster,pretty good analysis there. what is ur take on equity?
Rule No.1 is never lose money. Rule No.2 is never forget rule number one
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