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Technical, Fundamental basis for trading
sparkly
#11 Posted : Wednesday, August 25, 2010 9:15:12 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
@qw for this post i will just call lot juvenile, with no apologies
qw25041985 wrote:
For me i use technical analysis .and since very few wazuas dnt understand t.a why bother giving a full report.i go 4 small pointers that most cn chew en swallow . Hiyo 2.

Life is short. Live passionately.
sheep
#12 Posted : Wednesday, August 25, 2010 9:48:57 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 7/24/2008
Posts: 781
MaichBlack wrote:
Based on?

I miss SK days - almost everyone used to support their point of view/allegations/forecast with facts. These manenos of buy! buy! buy!, sell! sell! sell!, These stocks will go up/down by Friday/next month/whenever - without a basis - is so tiring and in my opinion utterly useless!



I remember SK in 2006 was no joke...it was a discussion bewteen CFAS,CPAS,economists and the like...you had to support anything u said with facts and figures.That said most of the analysis proved dung...the 'gurus' were thoroughly washed in 2008...hata siku hizi hawasikiki...I bet if the market crosses 5000pts watarudi with their 'brilliant analysis'.
The utimate goal of investing is to buy low sell high;if we re-write this core equation in psychology terms it becomes buy fear sell greed.
qw25041985
#13 Posted : Wednesday, August 25, 2010 10:18:44 PM
Rank: User

Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
The only guy who has shown 2 b a t.a guru is @hisah . And where is @njunge. Who thinks mumias will fall to 12.00 . That cn only happen in dreamland. Those who panic sold pole xana. Next time listen keenly 2 w@t i say.
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
simonkabz
#14 Posted : Thursday, August 26, 2010 3:00:58 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/2/2007
Posts: 8,776
Location: Cameroon
I had a TA book, read it for 2days nikatupa towel! Blackout wajamaa..
TULIA.........UFUNZWE!
sheep
#15 Posted : Thursday, August 26, 2010 6:14:31 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 7/24/2008
Posts: 781
simonkabz wrote:
I had a TA book, read it for 2days nikatupa towel! Blackout wajamaa..


he he he use basic T.A...know the resistance points,200days mva,cup and handle,saucer,flatbase,head and shoulder patterns etc...leave the complex stuff to market underperformers.
The utimate goal of investing is to buy low sell high;if we re-write this core equation in psychology terms it becomes buy fear sell greed.
PKoli
#16 Posted : Thursday, August 26, 2010 7:41:13 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/10/2007
Posts: 1,587
sheep wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
Based on?

I miss SK days - almost everyone used to support their point of view/allegations/forecast with facts. These manenos of buy! buy! buy!, sell! sell! sell!, These stocks will go up/down by Friday/next month/whenever - without a basis - is so tiring and in my opinion utterly useless!



I remember SK in 2006 was no joke...it was a discussion bewteen CFAS,CPAS,economists and the like...you had to support anything u said with facts and figures.That said most of the analysis proved dung...the 'gurus' were thoroughly washed in 2008...hata siku hizi hawasikiki...I bet if the market crosses 5000pts watarudi with their 'brilliant analysis'.



The market has no respect for the so called experts. One of the attributes one has to have is patience. That is one the reasons WB is where he is today. Some guys who bought stocks like Bamburi, EABL, KK, KCB and even BBK in the 90s went on to grow their investments almost ten fold
slykat
#17 Posted : Thursday, August 26, 2010 8:03:37 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/20/2007
Posts: 359
@Pkoli

True, true, true...patience pays..

I remember another thread here where I advised some fellow unless as a career choice, he needed not waste money doing a CFA just so he can make money from NSE... some peeps roasted me.

While fundamentals are crucial in choosing based on the "current state of health" of a company... patience and timing and keeping abreast economic trends in your chosen sector will help do the trick.. technical analysis is great but it does not foresee or foretell future market reactions based on unforeseen competitor, economic, political and company management or mismanagement changes...factors that are just as crucial.

Take Safcom; who would would have foretold Zain would be bought by Bharti and then unleash a seriously funded campaign blitz and price war?

Technicals are based on the past and present mostly and favour short-termers more. No one knows whether the company will discover oil in a year or will accidentally blow up a rig and pay billions in damages.... Only time can tell for sure.

Yet the experts are essential in that they temper markets' uncertainty with a dose of reality. More importantly they can help you currently value any given stock.
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