Paul Ndungu is a very smart guy but I think he chose the wrong firm this time round...
He chose Safaricom as the firm to partner with early on... And he did very, very well... Then he bailed from Safaricom in time... SMART CHAP...
Lakini, choosing Telkom-Orange might turn out to be a huge error! Zain has taken the market by storm...
Mobicom is selling lines/phones/airtime but coz of the 'freebies'... Probably heavily subsidized by Telkom-Orange for now... BUT what will happen when there are no more free gifts?
Will people move to Orange from Safaricom?
Will people stay with Orange after Zain-Airtel's (& YU) 3/- move?
If Mobicom/Ndungu had partnered with Zain-Airtel... he would have lines out his shops!!! Apparently in some areas, the Zain SIMs had run out...
Though data will be huge for Orange... Zain-Airtel plans huge 3G expansion by Dec 2011...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett