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Need advice: DTB @110 coop @16 EB @25
the deal
#21 Posted : Monday, August 23, 2010 5:02:12 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
DTBK aulready established and doing well in all this markets u guys are talking about...
youcan'tstopusnow
#22 Posted : Monday, August 23, 2010 5:07:30 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
msimon, thanks
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
qw25041985
#23 Posted : Monday, August 23, 2010 5:27:41 PM
Rank: User

Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
@y . I dnt belidve the stocks beign mentiönd are overvalued . I believe investors are lookin into the future and factorin in the gud earnings thus the rapid rise in prices of stocks w/ expansion strategies e.g co-op , kcb etal ,is justified .
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
guru267
#24 Posted : Monday, August 23, 2010 7:07:42 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
msimon wrote:
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
msimon, interested to know what discount you say NIC is trading on percentage wise or what you think is its intrinsic value. Share other counters on the NSE you think are trading below their intrinsic values and you can compare your notes with other Wazuans. Welcome to Wazua.


[youcan'tstopusnow], i estimate NIC's intrinsic to be btn 60-55/- based on last years earnings.If i double their half year results and add a worst case senario, this equates to 65-60/-. I would be interested at present levels although if the stock falls low, i'll be dancing to the broker. the discount to value here is at worst 23% assuming you buy at 45. My target entry point is 41 and below. Kenya Re too is selling at abig discount to value, we estimate is at btn 20-17, to be abit conservative, i would put it at 17. For some time it has been trading below book. Co-op bank has an Intrinsic value of about 23-19 at 17. there's some margin close to 10% from intrinsic. Those are financials that are attractive and selling for less than intrinsic. For industrials and commercial, we use free cashflow to value them, most haven't been producing positive free cash and the ones that have are overvalued, (selling for more than 10x free cash per share.)

Are you guys sure you know the meaning of the word "intrinsic value"?? Go check the financials balance sheet and you'll find its only kenya re trading below intrinsic value...
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
msimon
#25 Posted : Tuesday, August 24, 2010 1:34:24 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 8/23/2010
Posts: 63
Location: Kampala
guru267...in that case you mean book value, not intrinsic value. Because Kenya-Re is below book and intrinsic too and the rest of the discussed stocks
VituVingiSana
#26 Posted : Tuesday, August 24, 2010 2:19:47 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,354
Location: Nairobi
@guru... please read Warren Buffett's newsletters... there is a HUGE difference between book value & intrinsic value...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
guru267
#27 Posted : Tuesday, August 24, 2010 2:44:12 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
@guru... please read Warren Buffett's newsletters... there is a HUGE difference between book value & intrinsic value...

I know the difference between the two.... Intrinsic value is the ability for a stock to outperform its peers if bought at current share price while book value is the balance sheet stuff.... But thats according to WB...

In finance book value and intrinsic value are one and the same
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
msimon
#28 Posted : Tuesday, August 24, 2010 3:18:30 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 8/23/2010
Posts: 63
Location: Kampala
Guru267, they are actually different.Intrinsic Value is the present value of all expected future cash flows for the firm, while BV is the value of shareholders equity in the balance sheet.
Wa_ithaka
#29 Posted : Tuesday, August 24, 2010 3:19:31 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 1/7/2010
Posts: 1,279
Location: nbi
Guru-which finance? Intrinsic value is effectively the pv of future income streams
The Governor of Nyeri - 2017
Wendz
#30 Posted : Tuesday, August 24, 2010 4:10:14 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/19/2008
Posts: 4,268
@msimon

and what is your take on KPLC? is it worth taking it up now? where would you place it in June 2010?

KK has really been winking at me but it has too much drama my sight is blurred.
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