When two elephants fight, it is the "green" grass that gets the brunt of it...
IMHO, this is not about Safaricom and never will be; its about two Indian telcos both listed on the Bombay stock exchange, and fighting a cut throat thingy for their shareholders
( http://en.wikipedia.org/...e_Bombay_Stock_Exchange ) and Vodafone - a telco better known to clande around with everyone and anyone as long as cash exchanges hands
In India, Essar partners with Vodafone
( http://www.vodafone.in ), and their outfit is way smaller compared to Bharti, (India's largest mobile operator). Another note: Yu piggy-backs on the "Zain" network in areas where it does not have base-station presence. Love triangle, this mess!
My take is that Essar, (Vodafone's pal read clande, in India) - at Vodafone's orchestration - got into yu as a spoiler for Orange, Vodafone's most dreaded rival who perennially clobbers them at will in ALL other markets in which both operate
(UK included http://en.wikipedia.org/...f_Europe#United_Kingdom ). The exception is Kenya - we are peculiar.
On the other hand, Bharti freaked out that if Essar made headway in emerging markets, (especially Kenya, touted as the emerging silicon valley of Africa) it could complicate its game-plan back home;
(Kamau beats Wachira in the club, Wachira darks out of the club for a breather, Kamau follows Wachira outside the club fearing he's gone to get a weapon and the fight goes on outside the club) We all know a good offence is often a sufficient defense strategy, thats what it is about Bharti and Esser.
Am giving it to MJ... That he has held nerve for almost a week is commendable - that is leadership - I just hope he's making well considered decisions (assuming they are still his to make), what am not certain is whether he sees the above fight for what it is. I have this gut feeling MJ is not leaving Safcon out of free will, someone showed him the door (or he showed that someone a middle finger). First he looses his top distribution lieutenant mobicom, then gava lets him down on the 3G license saga and cedes its 20% in teams to Orange then Bharti... I recall reading some article that prohibits acquisition of telcos without government approval, what am wondering is whether that was meant to stop the legitimizing of the Vodafone-Essar indian clande locally. I read allot of gava-shafting in Vodafone's case, but gava is building roads, so the shafting can continue!
Then again, i would not be at all surprised if MJ surfaced on mombasa road on January 7th 2011 donning Bharti furahiday-dress-down colors...
Back to stocks & investments: SCBK is the MKesho for Zain's Mpesa called Zap, Discuss!
SCBK Chart linkmy two penny mbilis!